What will be the salary, inflation and how to increase prices for communal. The consensus forecast to 2021
What will be the salary, inflation and how to increase prices for communal. The consensus forecast to 2021
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The minimum wage for four years to grow half.
By the end of this year, the minimum salary in Ukraine is expected to grow to 3.9 ths. And by the end of 2021 on she should be 6.2 thousand UAH.
This is stated in the consensus forecast, which was prepared by the Ministry of economic development and trade based on data and projections from various agencies and institutions.
In particular, experts predict the growth rate of real GDP in 2018 at the level of 3.2%, whereas in 2019 and 3.1% in 2020 and 3.3% in 2021-m – 4%.
Inflation, according to forecasts, in 2018 will amount to 9.7% (December to December of the previous year), 2019 – 8% in 2020 and 6.8% in 2021-m – 6,4%.
The projected economic indicators in 2018-2021 years
Figure
2018
2019
2020
2021
The minimum wage
3900 UAH
4600 UAH
5400 UAH
6200 UAH
Inflation
9.7% of
8%
6,8%
6,4%
GDP
+3,2%
+3,1%
+3,3%
+4%
The increase in gas prices
+18%
+20%
+20%
+20%
The increase in electricity prices
+20%
+22,5%
+15%
+12,5%
The growth rates for hot water, heating
+20%
+10%
+11%
+20%
NBU discount rate
16%
14%
12%
12%
Loans from the IMF
$ 1.5 billion
$ 2 billion
$ 1.5 billion
$ 1 billion
The forecast of economic and social development of Ukraine for the years 2018-2021 calculated on the basis of information provided by experts of the Ministry of economic development and trade of Ukraine, Ministry of Finance of Ukraine, the National Bank of Ukraine, State scientific research Institute for Informatization and modeling economy, DNNU “Academy of financial management”, “Institute of Economics and forecasting of NAS of Ukraine, Institute of evolutionary Economics, Institute of demography and social studies named after mV ptukha NAS of Ukraine, research Institute of scientific and technical potential and history of science. G. M. Dobrov, national Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Institute for economic research and policy consulting, CASE Ukraine, The Bleyzer Foundation, Dragon Capital.
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