In Ukraine periodically depreciates the dollar. Currency forecasts from the national Bank
In the interbank trading , the dollar is now worth about 25 and a half hryvnia. Experts suggest that it may be cheaper to 25 UAH.
“You should not rely on recent trends and to wait for their recovery and recurrence in the future. Today the course is formed by fundamental factors. One of them is the receipt of sufficient foreign exchange revenues resulting from improved international market conditions for our employees and high yield in agriculture in the past and the current year”, – said the Deputy Chairman of the national Bank Oleg Churiy in an interview UBR.ua.
He explained that the regulator does not strengthen the exchange rate, and goes behind the market.
“If the NBU on the interbank market and is present in a rather limited amount. The proportion of our interventions – a few percent of the market. Of course, we have our own predictions. But because to assess the price movement in international markets is difficult, I can only say that, for example, provided that metal prices remain at current levels until the end of the year. The foreign currency proceeds of steelmakers may exceed our preliminary estimates of about $ 1 billion,” said Curi.
NBU does not assign a task to keep the exchange rate at any particular level.
“For estimates and projections there are experts, analysts, participants of the market. Our task is to maintain the fundamentally justified rate and to smooth out fluctuations. We do not set ourselves the task of holding a certain rate,” said Curi.
The national Bank does not rule out the fall risks for the hryvnia in the currency market. One of them is the political factor.
“Past practice has shown the negative impact of the political component. But along with the positive factors that will play on the side of the hryvnia, as, for example, the setting of the revenue from sales of new crop have already seen new positive signals. Among recent developments is the successful auctions of the state property Fund for the sale of packages of the power companies. We hope for successful trades in the future that will lead to entry into Ukraine for more currency to pay for the shares. Also on the Ukrainian debt market return non-residents who recently took part in the auction the Ministry of Finance on government bonds. It is connected with the stabilization of the situation in Ukraine, and with the positive attitude of investors to emerging markets. The increased presence of nonresidents in that market,” said Curi.
Recall that in the budget for 2017 laid down the dollar to 27.2 UAH.
Government exchange forecast is that the hryvnia exchange rate (average for year) in 2018 will amount to 29.3 UAH per dollar, in 2019 – 30.5 UAH per dollar in 2020 – 31 UAH per dollar.
Ukrainian business expects that in the next year, the exchange rate will be at the level 26-29 UAH per dollar. This is evidenced by the survey among entrepreneurs, held by the NBU.
Throughout its history, the hryvnia has established a record two-and-a-half years ago – February 26, 2015 in NBU official exchange United States dollar amounted to 30.01 UAH, and the Euro – 34,04 UAH.
The Euro exchange rate of the NBU
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The Euro exchange rate of the NBU
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